I’ve always loved the idea of autonomous cars.
One thing I disagree with in that infographic is the forecast dominance of level 1-3, with 4 and 5 lagging by such a large margin and for such a long time.
Most of these driver-assist functions are worse than useless. They will not be popular and they will not proliferate, they are gimmicks imo. The whole point of driverless is relaxed safety and getting your time back, not hovering your hands under the wheel and keeping your eyes on the road whilst not actually having any of the ‘fun’ of driving.
I think electric level 4 and 5 will quickly dominate the market and manufacturers will all be falling over themselves to try to satisfy demand for that kind of ‘liberation’. The economic demand in terms of efficiency savings will be huge too imo. 30% of male employment on this planet is driver-based. There’s a broad economic incentive for a lot of businesses (big and small) to switch to driverless as quickly as they can. It’s not good for technological unemployment/displacement, but it is certainly going to be a big incentive to defy those forecasts and move to level 4+ across the board by 2040.
I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see ‘driving’ become illegal in some countries by 2035 tbh.
What an incredible time to be alive eh! So much will change over the next few decades… I hope!