I kind of guessed this by your way of formulations, that’s why the blinkey smiley
Nonetheless:
It’s not metaphoric, it’s another level of abstraction.
You apply the theory to the system, I apply it to the components of the system, which gives very different results.
There’s nothing in what Gigerenzer says that constraints the level of abstraction for which the theory is valid. On the contrary, he talks of agents as institutions or individuals, and much of the research has been carried out on individuals. I apply the theory very concretely on that level of abstraction, that’s not “more metaphorical”.
Compare to this:
They proved analytically conditions under which semi-ignorance (lack of recognition) can lead to better inferences than with more knowledge. These results were experimentally confirmed in many experiments, e.g., by showing that semi-ignorant people who rely on recognition are as good as or better than the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) Rankings and experts at predicting the outcomes of the Wimbledon tennis tournaments. Similarly, decisions by experienced experts (e.g., police, professional burglars, airport security) were found to follow the take-the-best heuristic rather than weight and add all information, while inexperienced students tend to do the latter.
And this is what I mean is problematic when taking such a general high level theory and consider it valid and true on one level of abstraction only. It might be, but neither you or me know that in this specific case.
I don’t think so (obviously, that’s why I expressed the view). At least you should try back the claims up I think Just saying things are in a way doesn’t make them so.
That’s a problem when discussing in this topic I believe, some seem to consider it less important to show why their opinion holds true. It’s so hard to get anywhere for real when we do like that.
That’s right. I would say the closest thing to not trying to model or understand it, is to not design an ultimate strategy for the reward and store cost, and let it be a dynamic result of participant assessment.
It doesn’t mean I don’t personally think boundaries are useful, it’s just a logical conclusion.
I can see how it is confusing, because I mix the two theories. I wouldn’t say I’m necessarily deriving the macro from the micro. I’m still starting out at macro. That the method includes micro components is unavoidable, that’s not what Steve Keen is talking about, it’s about not assuming the micro effects playing out in macro when scaled, and that the system needs to instead be built from macro perspective, finding the micro configurations that lead to the desired macro, without assumptions on those micro conditions.
I found it interesting that there is a theory that would support the feasibility of PAC other than the idea of the rational agent (look how closely the Wimbledon example above illustrates this), especially since some of the arguments against participant assessment (as opposed to network universal strategy) have in essence been about the disbelief in the rational agent.
See, I try to test what ways we can understand and combine the different views. I’m not locked to a certain view, I’m trying to see what views there are, what problems they have, and more so, I try to do it with open and investigative discussion. Whenever someone makes a certain claim, I try it out - regardless if it seems intuitively true or not to me personally.
For example, I think resource-as-a-proxy will work sufficiently well in a young / medium-young network. The problems of naively increasing reward when supply goes down and vice versa, appears when large part of the population is having a major part of their economy (income and expenses) on the network. That’s probably going to take a while.
The problem though, is knowing when. No one could predict the bitcoin growth curve as you said yourself. These kind of decisions make implicit predictions when we say “nah, that’s not going to be a problem”. Well, you don’t get to say that without having made some sort of prediction, which in essence is pure guessing.
Additional problem is: will it even be possible to switch to something like PAC (or whatever) when everything has settled with resource-as-a-proxy and everyone depends on it?
OK, great. I’m still genuinely interested to hear your ideas and thoughts on how that concretely would be done, with all concerns addressed somehow (you know, either account for them or show why they don’t hold).
People with different ideas, and open to ideas, are those who would be able to make most progress together here I believe.