Market Research on market size and growth


#1

Existing Markets

This post has some stats and ideas about the size of various similar markets that might use SAFE at various stages of adoption.

It’d be good to aggregate a bunch of stats into this topic if we can.

What’s the point? I guess it gives some indication of what success looks like, and promotes the potential scope of the network if it works as intended (both in size and purpose). It’s easy to see how revolutionary SAFE could be, or on the other hand how much work is still to come if the network becomes popular. These stats hopefully add something tangible to the overall concept of growth.

Early adopters

Debian torrent seeders

Popular linux distribution which can be downloaded from torrents shared by the debian community.

Total 18,431 seeders (sort of similar to vault operators). (source)

Most seeders for a single file is 849 seeders (seeding debian-9.5.0-amd64-DVD-1.iso).

TOR

2M connected users (source)

6K relays, which is like a routing-only vault (source)

275 Gbps available of which 125 Gbps is consumed (source)

100K onion addresses, which is like a SAFE site (source)

Mastodon

Distributed social network

623K users and 500 instances (which are like vaults) (source)

Burstcoin

Proof of storage coin

Currently 288,000 TB being used for mining. (source)

Approx 10K installations of the android app gives some idea of non-mining adoption. (source)

Midterm adopters

Coinbase

20M users (source)

Binance

1M android app installs (source)

ThePirateBay

10M peers (source)

Dream Market

Dark net marketplace

26K registered forum users (from .onion site)

145K listings (from .onion site)

PornHub

64M visitors per day (source)

Hacker News

Approx 500K registered users (from own data)

Github

27M users (source)

Late adopters

Netflix

130M subscribers reaching 300M people (source)

Dropbox

Approx 500M installs of the android app (source)

Wikipedia

250M daily average pageviews (source)

140M daily unique devices (source)

Reddit

330M users (source)

Ebay

175M buyers and 25M sellers (source)

Windows Updates

200M updates to Windows 10 (source) at approx 3 GB per update (source)

To put that into context, 14M devices were running Windows 10 within 24h of release, which at 3 GB per update is over 4000 Gbps average bandwidth! Pretty serious infrastructure just for software updates. Think about android, ios, linux servers … software updates could be a big use case which is essentially invisible to the end users so lots of incentives for software providers to be switching to SAFE in that case.

Got some stats? Post them here!


#2

And as soon as SAFE gets an accepted version of social media then what?

Great collection and analysis there @mav


#3

Facebook

Over 1 billion daily users.

Every 60 seconds:

  • 317,000 status updates
  • 400 new users
  • 147,000 photos uploaded
  • 54,000 shared links

Everyone on Facebook is no more than 3.5 degrees separated.

Source. It has a lot of other potentially interesting data too.


#4

Mobile Video Advertising - Admob, Tapjoy, etc…

Rewarded video Ads are now better revenue model for mobile app developers than all other advertising plus in-app purchases combined.

  • $180 Billion spend on mobile advertising in 2018
    -Average video size - 10 MB
    ePCM - Revenue for 1000 video views $1-15 depending on country. USA $10, GB - $15, India - $1
    1000 video views = 10 GB of data transferred advertising company has to pay to data center
    Amazon S3 charges $0.05 for 1GB. For 1000 views it is $0.5. So for countries like India $0.5 only data transfer costs is simply too much if revenue is $1. I can imagine big advertising companies will jump to Safenet so cut down their video traffic costs. If they cut download costs to close to $0, than they have huge advantage in countries like India compared to other advertising agencies. Mobile video advertising is huge part of all mobile traffic.

#5

Not a stat, but I would put the pirate bay and torrent sites like it in the early adopter section. Especially private trackers. I think it will be very quick to pick up on the benefits.

Current procedure for any heavy torrenter:

  • Download torrent file
  • Upload torrent file to seedbox
  • Download torrent to seedbox
  • Download torrent files to local computer/nas
  • (When you’ve met ratio) delete files from seedbox

Procedure if files are are safe:

  • Download data map
  • (If you so desire a local copy) download to local computer/nas
  • Enjoy

#6

I can imagine this extra step in the procedure for users who download movie torrent files: look for subtitles in own language (.srt file).


#7

The torrent sites is why I see a Patreon-like app in the SAFE Network as being a huge early app. It would allow torrent seeders to crowdsource funding for uploads (and fund their activities).


#8

Another list of groups that may end up using SAFE.

These lists are useful for anyone thinking of writing an export/import tool, or for creating targeted advertising, or looking to build an app for a specific target audience.

Early adopters

openbazaar

Distributed marketplace

12K total users with 3K sellers and 35K items (source)

OwnCloud

Self hosted cloud services

25M users (source)

That’s a huge number of users who are probably open to the idea of SAFE. Time to build a plugin?

Bisq

P2P exchange

2.5K community members (source)

1K trades per month (source)

Midterm adopters

Protonmail

Privacy-focused email service

1M+ android installs (source)

Google Earth Engine

Data analysis platform

90K stackexchange users (source)

1M twitter followers (source)

SciHub

Scientific papers

200K requests per day (source)

80K twitter followers (source)

Has significant problems with retaining domain names.

Late adopters

Vimeo

Video sharing

80M creators (source)

flickr

Photo sharing

90M monthly users (source)

Nest

IoT-style thermostat

11M sold (source)