The market is super irrational as you hint at and the valuations are well laughable in many ways.
Whilst MAID is certainly worth what you mention above I can’t really see any major reaction until beta/testsafecoin. What that means for a valuation well I guess broader market conditions at the time will largely dictate that.
Actually, the regulatory clampdown/intervention that’ll likely frost things over this year (and who knows maybe a little longer) is a blessing in disguise for SAFE really.
A closer look of global markets are already showing some super interesting (if not concerning) trends.
Say in the US the Federal interest rates haven’t even reached 2 percent and the system is cracking. Going back a decade the rates had to exceed what 5 percent, before the credit crash started to unfold?
In this case however the writing is on the wall that the Fed rates can’t rise much further without revisiting 2007-2009 again. Back then you had folks like Countrywide Mortgage that were the early warning signs. Recovery temporarily followed until Lehman Brothers and Co. set the landslide off. There are a lot of eery similarities on the horizon not just in the US but in many countries of the world invlusive of the largest crypto markers. As a good example Japan and Emerging Market economy stock markets are looking vulnerable for the forseeable future.
There is probably enough stupidity there (forgive me I class my own country the same way in some respects) to keep those systems dragging along for at least a few more years before any sort of global implosion occurs.
It is quite possible that we could see multiple fiscal markets sink over the course of the next decade and an astonishing amount of fleeing capital looking for a home to bed itself in away from any of the traditional markets.
Funnily enough, if there was a global contraction of that nature and there was an established and reputable store of value/method of transaction that had been battle tested and gained trust the inflow of capital to any such system would likely be hard to quantify beyond it being enormous with a capital E.
For those that are impatient having to wait another couple of years for a Beta/live network take a little step back and have a look at the global fiscal situation around you. It (even in a great country like Australia) is artificially alive but ultimately a ticking time b0mb.
The time will come when a new alternative for the storage/transfer of wealth will be required and in a drastic hurry and…well…geez…I wonder what that system could possibly be?
Let Maidsafe get this network up and don’t waste a moment of their time (thinking of the other Name thread here) with really inconsequential gibberish. Add the IOT future and all the other wonderful needs that this network can service (and there is so many you lose count and stop estimating the potential if you actually try) and there is nothing but a bright future ahead for SAFE if it can make the start line and prove secure.
I recall an earlier bang on point post about realising that the true value in SAFE will be found at least 5-10 years post release, whilst I don’t have a crystal ball and don’t know my ass from my elbow it looks very likely all of the above could plop right into SAFE’s lap in the foreseeable future.
Forget crypto, forget marketcaps, forget prices (really hard I know) and look down the road. If your prepared to support and hold into the distant future (and go through some rough times eg: when they try to outlaw this thing initially) the possibilities from both a tech heads perspective as well as an investor is incalculable.